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  1. X

    Version 3 - ATAR model for school internals released

    Marks rise faster near top and drop faster near bottom.
  2. X

    On track for a 96?/how have I done? UPDATED

    I've released the model with your example to showcase how it works. Your predicted atar is 98.95 - see the thread https://boredofstudies.org/threads/version-3-atar-model-for-school-internals-released.391964/
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    Version 3 - ATAR model for school internals released

    Version 3 of my ATAR projection model has been completed. It projects the top end of better schools with improved accuracy, as in the old model it would ocassionaly exceed predictions of 100 for top students in top schools. This has been adjusted so it is no longer the case and the only way to...
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    ATAR estimates

    Wow, interesting! Looks like I hit it pretty close and the model's working well :)
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    ATAR estimates

    Congrats! Project 2019 aggreggate-scaling-matched projected atar is 99.95. For each subject to the nearest integer, HSC marks: Eng 92 Ext 2 99 Ext 1 99 Chem 95 Phys 94 Latin Continuers 97 Latin Extension 100 Phys did not count. You're right on the edge - if you need 99.95 you probably want...
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    ATAR estimates

    Alright that is the last atar estimate I have time to give for now. All the best for the HSC exams!
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    ATAR estimates

    Projected Atar 94.45 HSC nearest integer Eng 90 Phys 84 Eco 79 M adv 92 M ext 87 Chem 85
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    ATAR estimates

    The 2019 aggreggate-scaling-matched projected atar is 99.75. For previous estimates I used averaged data over past ten years but at high 99s it becomes more relevant with syllabus change. Also HSC Ninja is overestimating the top atars for sure as it says 468.5 is 99.95 in 2019, and that is never...
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    Do I need 4 unit maths to get an ATAR above 99?

    Over 99 you should be able to get with SOR. If you need high 99s since med might be better to do math extension 2, seeing that your most other subjects are science/maths. Most people getting higher 99s on humanities do all or most humanities.
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    POLL : Not sure what hsc combo to take...

    Ext english is apparently very similar to advanced, it is mutually beneficial with advanced english while buisness studies is not really. You should investigate ext latin but it shouldn't be much harder than continuers if its the same as most languages.
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    POLL : Not sure what hsc combo to take...

    Having said that agree with idkkdi 97.5 is achievable with any set of subjects. Personally think you will find the motivation you need with subjects you like more. If Buisness ends up being a total pain and you don't want to study you could get a 75 HSC mark. Thats almost never going to happen...
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    POLL : Not sure what hsc combo to take...

    Option 1 looks easily the best. Especially if you don't like business just don't do it. You might hate the memorization later on... I hear that the extension languages generally fairly similar to the continuers so might be a good choice. Don't know specifically though. Ext2 maths is...
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    ATAR estimates

    The school rank too is determined by the number of b6s not top b6s though. So it might be just that his school has lots of ext1 b6s but not in other subjects, which I would find a fairly reliable measure. 96% on trial also seems to support this (trial percentage not included in model obviously...
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    ATAR estimates

    1st in more than half the cohort b6s is pretty good. Similar to my prediction of quickoats and he did better/fairly close to my prediction (model: 97, 97 | overall: 98, 99).
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    ATAR estimates

    Projected atar 97.85 HSC nearest integer Eng 90 M adv 92 Eco 93 Geo 89 Legal 96
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    ATAR estimates

    Projected atar 99.30 HSC marks rounded to nearest integer Eng 91 4u 95 3u 98 Chem 91 Bio 91 Earth 78 As noted before 1st ranks could be better than predicted. Edit: Bio not phys, just mistyped but calculations are correct
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    ATAR estimates

    I will leave that a mystery...but magical the system is indeed.
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    ATAR estimates

    Ah, I see. Looks like my predictions were pretty close overall :) Just wondering if the internal marks were even closer.
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    ATAR estimates

    Ah, just saw you were 2019 HSC! What did you end up getting if you don't mind saying? If you know your internals for each subject that would be even better! Just curious how close these numbers were.
  20. X

    ATAR estimates

    Alright that's all I can do tonight. I might do a few more later this week - but after that I'll have run out of time.
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