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Technical & Fundamental Analysis: Omegacorp (OMC) (1 Viewer)

Cyph

espresso me up!
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First part is stolen from my good friend Ann, I'm sure she won't mind...

"Detailed Quote for Friday, April 28, 2006

Company Name: Omegacorp Limited
ASX Code: OMC
Shares Issued: 105,005,060
Market Cap: 72.5 Million
52-Week EPS: -0.0792
52-Week High: 0.75 on Thursday, April 27, 2006
52-Week Low: 0.1525 on Thursday, May 12, 2005
Average Price: 0.4038 (50-day) 0.3028 (200-day)
Average Volume: 765,900 (50-day) 539,500 (200-day)
Official Listing Date: 6 August, 2004
Share Registry: COMPUTERSHARE INVESTOR SERVICES PTY LIMITED

Directors / Senior Management
Mr Ian Middlemas (Non Exec. Chairman)
Mr Matthew Yates (Managing Director)
Mr Glenn Whiddon (Director)
Mr Mark Pearce (Non Exec. Director)

Internet Address: http://www.omegacorplimited.com.au"


I'm very bullish on OMC personally.

If you have a look at Paladin with their market cap over $2 billion (not sure if it still is with the recent price drop, but it was) when they're not producing any Uranium yet, then OMC has to be an under-valued little beauty (market cap $90 829 376.90 based on today's close) when you consider they will be producing U in Sep 2007 they expect, not too far behind Paladin at all.


OMC have a JORC inferred resource, a great no-bullshit management team it seems + they're in a U-friendly country.

Seems the overseas buyers are in now, swapping their more expensive European/Canadian explorers/producers for the cheaper, Ausssie stocks???

Crunch some figures for 1000 tonnes of U being produced in one year with mining costs of US$20/lb

1 000 000 kgs * 2.2 to convert to pounds
2 200 000 lbs mined per year * US$40/spot price U
=US$88 000 000 revenue
- US$40 000 000 mining costs
=US$44 000 000 gross profit
=AUD$62 857 142 gross profit (using x-rate of 0.70)
After tax @ 30% = AUD$43 999 999 net profit.

That justifies a market cap of $439 999 990, a return of 10% if you're in the 30% tax bracket.

Plus we could discount another several years of 1000 tonnes of U being produced back to PV using a risk-free rate of 5% a year or something.

I realise the figures are rough, but I've tried to use conservative estimates and I don't see why $5 is out of the question with this company.

The fundamentals are all there IMO.

I was looking to get my order filled at 46c, but the day they had 5m traded and closed at 60c was the day I jumped in - when I saw 3-4 million had been traded (way over the average of 1m), I bought a substantial parcel on the expectation that news or something of the like was coming.

So nice timing for me! :D
 

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