ATAR estimate please! (1 Viewer)

tvskAXatar

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SubjectTrial markTrial rankOverall internal rankBand 6's in 2023, 2022How I think I scored raw in the HSC
English Advanced73/10027/6416/640, 0 (Note no Band 6's but the English dept says this year's cohort is the strongest in over 10 years)80/100 raw
Maths Advanced45/10025/4021/406, 151/100 raw
Biology81/1003/299/296, 187/100 raw
Economics71/1005/256/251, 184/100 raw
Geography86/1001/281/280, 1N/A

School rank: Usually in the bottom quarter of the top 150 schools
 
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jimmysmith560

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From this information, you seem to be currently on track with an ATAR in the low 80s range. More specifically, that would be an ATAR between 81.5 and 83.

Geography is your best-performing subject. This is especially true given your optimal rank, which will allow you to maximise your Assessment Mark. If you also achieve the highest HSC exam mark in this subject within your cohort, the moderation process will work in your favour, as your overall HSC mark would essentially be made equal to your HSC exam mark. This therefore gives you a great opportunity to maximise your overall result in this subject, resulting in a positive contribution to your ATAR.

The same can be suggested regarding your position in English Advanced and Biology, although to a slightly lower extent. This means that while both subjects can potentially make a positive contribution to your ATAR, there is potential for improvement to your overall performance (and by extension, the contribution of each subject to your ATAR) through favourable HSC exam performance. Hopefully you did well in your English Advanced HSC exam and best of luck with your Biology HSC exam.

On the other hand, Mathematics Advanced and Economics appear to be your lowest-performing subjects, indicating greater room for improvement compared to your other subjects. This warrants additional focus on your preparations for their HSC exam, allowing you to improve your overall performance and increase your chances of a higher ATAR. Hopefully you did better than expected in your Mathematics Advanced HSC exam and best of luck with your Economics HSC exam.

I hope this helps! :D
 

tvskAXatar

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SubjectTrial markTrial rankOverall internal rankBand 6's in 2023, 2022How I think I scored raw in the HSC
English Advanced73/10027/6416/640, 0 (Note no Band 6's but the English dept says this year's cohort is the strongest in over 10 years)80/100 raw
Maths Advanced45/10025/4021/406, 151/100 raw
Biology81/1003/299/296, 187/100 raw
Economics71/1005/256/251, 184/100 raw
Geography86/1001/281/280, 1N/A

School rank: Usually in the bottom quarter of the top 150 schools
Updated to reflect Biology and Economics, can anyone including @jimmysmith560 give an update?
 

jimmysmith560

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Updated to reflect Biology and Economics, can anyone including @jimmysmith560 give an update?
Based on the updated information, there seems to be an improvement to your overall position, and you are now likely on track with an ATAR of up to 86.5. Your performance in Mathematics Advanced may have limited that improvement, although favourable performance in your upcoming Geography HSC exam can help offset this, allowing you to increase your chances of a higher ATAR, likely in the high 80s range.
 

tvskAXatar

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SubjectTrial markTrial rankOverall internal rankBand 6's in 2023, 2022How I think I scored raw in the HSC
English Advanced73/10027/6416/640, 0 (Note no Band 6's but the English dept says this year's cohort is the strongest in over 10 years)80/100 raw
Maths Advanced45/10025/4021/406, 153/100 raw
Biology81/1003/299/296, 187/100 raw
Economics71/1005/256/251, 184/100 raw
Geography86/1001/281/280, 191/100 raw

School rank: Usually in the bottom quarter of the top 150 schools
@jimmysmith560, I’ve updated this with the Geography mark I am confident that I got. Could you please provide an updated estimate? Also saw the recently uploaded Maths official solutions and updated my mark
 
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jimmysmith560

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@jimmysmith560, I’ve updated this with the Geography mark I am confident that I got. Could you please provide an updated estimate? Also saw the recently uploaded Maths official solutions and updated my mark
The updated information likely reflects an increase in your estimated ATAR to 88.5, which is consistent with my earlier post, in which I mentioned that favourable performance in Geography would increase your chances of an ATAR in the high 80s range.
 

tvskAXatar

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The updated information likely reflects an increase in your estimated ATAR to 88.5, which is consistent with my earlier post, in which I mentioned that favourable performance in Geography would increase your chances of an ATAR in the high 80s range.
No chance of hitting 90?
 

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You are very close to a 90 ATAR, so I would not dismiss that possibility, although it may heavily depend on slightly better performance in your lower-performing subjects.
If my raw 53 in Maths scales to a 77 aligned (which is a possibility this year), how would this impact my ATAR estimate. My rank in Maths Advanced is 21/40.
 

jimmysmith560

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If my raw 53 in Maths scales to a 77 aligned (which is a possibility this year), how would this impact my ATAR estimate. My rank in Maths Advanced is 21/40.
I assumed a similar mark to that as your overall HSC mark when I estimated. This means that you may need a slightly higher raw mark to maximise your chances of reaching a 90 ATAR.
 

tvskAXatar

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I assumed a similar mark to that as your overall HSC mark when I estimated. This means that you may need a slightly higher raw mark to maximise your chances of reaching a 90 ATAR.
If that's not realistic then which other subjects should I have hoped to do better than expected in to reach this ATAR? Just curious what final HSC marks did you estimate for all the courses
 

jimmysmith560

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If that's not realistic then which other subjects should I have hoped to do better than expected in to reach this ATAR? Just curious what final HSC marks did you estimate for all the courses
Sorry, I realised that I inputted a lower mark for Biology than your performance reflects. With the correction, the estimate becomes up to 90 instead of up to 88.5. From this point, any improvement across any of your subjects would help maximise (i.e. further guarantee) your chances of reaching a 90 ATAR.
 

tvskAXatar

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Sorry, I realised that I inputted a lower mark for Biology than your performance reflects. With the correction, the estimate becomes up to 90 instead of up to 88.5. From this point, any improvement across any of your subjects would help maximise (i.e. further guarantee) your chances of reaching a 90 ATAR.
Thanks mate. Just curious what were the individual HSC marks you predicted/estimated for each subject?
 

jimmysmith560

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Thanks mate. Just curious what were the individual HSC marks you predicted/estimated for each subject?
No worries, I generally input marks in intervals of 5, as follows:
  • English Advanced - 80
  • Mathematics Advanced - 75
  • Biology - 90
  • Economics - 85
  • Geography - 95
 

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