How many seats do you predict federal Labor will have in the 2013 election? (1 Viewer)

[Sathius005]

How many seats do you predict federal Labor will have in the 2013 election?
A)20-30
B)40-50
C)60-70
D)80-90

 

[Buzz Lightyear]

Below 60 no doubt.

 

[soloooooo]

Your poll is flawed. No option for seats in the 30s, 50m, 60s etc etc, less than 20 seats or more than 90 seats.

Most pollsters and journalists are saying in the 30s, although i'll say low 40s. If gillard is replaced before the election, maybe high 40s.

 

[Rafy]

If an election was held now I think somewhere in the low 50s.

100 days is a long time however. It's too early to make an objective assessment on how election day will turn out. Certainly I think Labor will lose, it's a question of by how much and that'll be largely be determined by what happens between now and the election.

 

[nerdasdasd]

The opinion polls have been quite negative for labour in the recent weeks, I don't think they can turn it around..... So the libs will probably win.

 

[soloooooo]

The opinion polls have been quite negative for labour in the recent weeks, I don't think they can turn it around..... So the libs will probably win.

They've been bad ever since the last election.

 

[Rafy]

They've been bad ever since the last election.

Indeed. The ALP have not led in any Nielsen poll at all this term, not one, which is unprecedented.

Since the carbon tax was announced years ago they have not led in any polls taken by Newspoll, Nielsen, Galaxy or Essential Research.