J curve theory (1 Viewer)

espo14

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hey guys,
whats the basic proposition of the J curve theory? cant seem to find the answer in my book..
thanks
 

~dEjA vOuX~

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Do you have the first Bulmer book? I think it goes into detail about it in there...
 

Melz

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why do you say the j-curve is no longer valid?
 

Nick

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Keating thought that the J curve would solve australia's economic problems in the 1980s.. it didnt work.

wouldnt say its "no longer valid". It seems good in theory, just didnt work in practice.
 
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J curve is no longer valid due to growth in Australian equity abroad. Increases in O/S Debt and debt serving from AUD depriciation is cancelled out by rise in our O/S Equity and increased returns from these overseas investments so Net Foreign Liabilities and Net Income is largely unchanged e.g. despite a 20% deprication of the AUD over 97-98, Net O/S Debt and Net Income actually fell slightly.


I don't think J curve is still in the syllabus.
 

olay

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ermm. :S this forum always gives me the feeling i've been sleeping through all my economics lessons. so. the fact that the J curve is infact invalid would be a handy piece of information. but its still in my text book - we were discussing it today???? and my teacher said nothing about it not working in practise.
 

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