arthur survives = 0.82, die = 0.18
jenny survives = 0.53, die = 0.47
to answer the question you hav to consider two cases:
arthur survives and (so you multiply probabilities if its an and condition) jenny dies or (add proabilities if its an or condition) jenny survives and arthur dies.
0.82*0.47 + 0.53*0.18 = 0.4808
sorry im kind of in a rush, hope you followed that! :wave: