I doubt this war will be happening in the next 10 years or so. To be quite frank I just don't think any fireworks are going to go off between China and the US, or even Taiwan for that matter. Let's face it, Taiwan is a very, very small state. If a war of any sort was fought with China on Taiwanese soil, the results for Taiwan would be very messy indeed. Tthe whole country risks getting ripped to shreads. Independence is a worthy cause, but not with such a cost, and especially not when Taiwan is more or less an autonomous state anyway. The most perverse thing about all this is that while Chen Shui-bian is making all these seccession noises, he can't in his honest mind be serious about actually trying it out. It IS however making him an awfully popular guy in Taiwan.