The fact of the matter is, that John Howard may not win the election, but in all likelihood, the Labor Party will lose it. The primary problem for the Labor party at present is the compostion of caucus. In short, it is a collaboration of 'left-wing' academic/intellectuals who are out of touch with the founding principles of the Labor Party. The likes of Beazely, Gillard, Rudd, Smith..Just to name a few. Any members that do have links to the unions such as Macklin and Crean are merely overshadowed by the zealous nature of these academic careerists.
I thought John Howard summed it up perfectly :
"Above all, the nation needs at the helm a group of men and women who have strength, who have experience and have a clear view of what they believe in,"
The key phrase there, 'what they believe in'. The outer seats of Western Sydney as well as the Tasmanian seats exemplify how out of touch the Labor party is becomming with its traditonal constituency. They are more concerned about aligning themselves with Greens and environmentalists than standing up for their traditional beliefs and the concerns of their primary supporters. Labors problem is ideological and until this problem is recognised and reconciled their chances are greatly depleted....
The other stark fact is that there is a silent majority out there that voice their opinion every 3-4 years... and as much as the media and the like, rave and rant about any concerns of government that may arise, their comments and predictions are usually once again disproved by the actions of the silent majority at the polls... Moreover, as much as it does not seem due to the opinons of those on these forums... the Young Liberals are still the largest and most influential youth political movement in Australia without a doubt and leave the rest far far behind...obviously an indication of how political alignment is far different than portrayed on this forum...
And to all those who may question Howards health for his age, if anything, that healthy specimen Kim Beazely should be more concerned about sickness and death as in all likelihood as his arteries are probably more clogged than Sydney roads in peakhour...
Look at the state election first as well... if Bob Carr wins, then John Howard is home and hosed, no doubts, if's, or buts....if Carr doesn't win, then Howards majority will be reduced....