Bendwhat?_over
All is lost if one abandons hope.
Are you alright...???sing me a lullaby pls![]()
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Are you alright...???sing me a lullaby pls![]()
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lol cuz sylvia told me to go to sleep and i thought i was being called naiveAre you alright...???
That's not what I was referring to.lol cuz sylvia told me to go to sleep and i thought i was being called naive
as opposed to... apparently being told i'm getting put down
That's not what I was referring to.
Firstly, the transactional nature applies to Europe too. They don't follow America due to "shared values" - it's in their interest to do so, so they do.I don’t think the U.S.’s global leadership is just transactional. It's the worlds biggest economy, its soft power attracts foreign investment and gives it a major edge in trade negotiations.
None of which has anything to do with endless and unconditional aid for ukraine.Countries want to do business with the U.S. because of its stability, influence, and reliability.
"Abandoning allies" = Not giving unlimited, unconditional support to a non-allyAbandoning allies
or pushing tariffs makes the U.S. seem unreliable, which can hurt its long-term economic interests by driving away investment and creating uncertainty.
Nope, wrong, dead wrong. The status quo you're clinging to is precisely what has lead to the rise of the China and the substantial, long-term decline of the US. The same people who bush this boomer talking point were the ones absolutely convinced that China would be a liberal democracy by now and they were wrong, so any further predictions from people with this model of the world should be discarded. And the US is already a leader in global markets - that's done precious little to actually stop Russia.From an economic standpoint, the best way to counter rivals like China or Russia is by staying a reliable leader in global markets.
They have a market based economyMy hottest of takes is Ive never believed that China would overtake the US economy simply because a) The capitalist system is has is always going to perform better long-term vs a communist system
You can't be serious.and b) the US has a reputation for reliability built over 80 years. Now Im not so sure, because if China can occupy the space the US is leaving behind maybe they could.
They don't "need" to do anything. They're not begging for a peace deal, it's Ukraine begging Russia to leave. I'm not saying Ukraine should accept any given deal, but they can't afford to be demanding the stuff they're demanding.I think it's a fair deal for peace, but Russia needs to come up with some concessions to, like maybe allowing the Ukraine to join the EU or an investment in rebuilding Ukraine in partnership with the EU etc.
Their reserves are what is valuable, not their current mining operations: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c20le8jn282oThe critical minerals deal is a waste for the US, Ukraine currently doesn't mine a lot of that stuff and its material value is unclear.
The status quo might not be perfect, but blowing it up by being crass towards Allies and levying tariffs against Allies isn't going to make America Great Again. It's the wrong solution to the right problem (story of Donald Trump tbh). The US has mishandled foreign policy traditionally when it has gotten directly involved. The US wants to reverse that trend which is probably a good idea. All they have to do is say to Nato, we want to pull back and you to take over, this is how we will support you to do so.Nope, wrong, dead wrong. The status quo you're clinging to is precisely what has lead to the rise of the China and the substantial, long-term decline of the US. The same people who bush this boomer talking point were the ones absolutely convinced that China would be a liberal democracy by now and they were wrong, so any further predictions from people with this model of the world should be discarded. And the US is already a leader in global markets - that's done precious little to actually stop Russia.
I mean, if the world becomes as transactional as you say, China can move into that space if they play their cards right. You have a very right wing view of the world, but not everyone else does. Some people may eventually see China as really not that much worse than the US. In that case, China fills the space. China, when they arent going all wolf warrior can be quite good with the realpolitik at times.You're predicting that because the US engages in tariffs and doesn't support limitless, unconditional financial and military aid to a country it has nothing to do with (legitimately), a country with extremely unfair trade practices, political censorship and the biggest supporter or Russia is going to take America's place?
Come on dude.
Again, Ukraine isn't an ally, and as for the rest of Europe, again, they were insultingly and constantly critical of Trump constantly for the best part of the past 8 years. If they can't take it back, then the status quo was too fragile to ever be maintained in the first place.The status quo might not be perfect, but blowing it up by being crass towards Allies and levying tariffs against Allies isn't going to make America Great Again.
The US is NATO.It's the wrong solution to the right problem (story of Donald Trump tbh). The US has mishandled foreign policy traditionally when it has gotten directly involved. The US wants to reverse that trend which is probably a good idea. All they have to do is say to Nato, we want to pull back and you to take over, this is how we will support you to do so.
Again, this is so insane.I mean, if the world becomes as transactional as you say, China can move into that space if they play their cards right. You have a very right wing view of the world, but not everyone else does. Some people may eventually see China as really not that much worse than the US.
Fills the space with what? The "space" is US military protection. That's it. China is not going to militarily protect Europe from Russia. And even if it's economy, why would anyone invest in China instead of the US? They're not more stable or reliable - they were engaging in the kind of punitive trade policies you're so furiously condemning Trump for!In that case, China fills the space. China, when they arent going all wolf warrior can be quite good with the realpolitik at times.
YOUR way has resulted in the long-term decline of countries like the US. People are freaking out about Trump because he's a president who has stopped the government putting American interests last.As I said, you look at the world through a distinctly right wing lens. I look at the world based on my career in government - Im a details/relationships/practical person (Im also in HR, so dealing diplomatically with fiery personalities and conflicts is my lens as well). Ive seen governments/Ministers come and go of different political persuasions and the best ones I worked for weren't right or left, they were the ones that grasped the details. With the US at the moment, I see a lot of posturing and point scoring but not much in the way of a workable, effective plan.
Im saying China can fill the space as a trading partner, as a military partner no, but if the US is backing out from its commitment to Allies then most countries will back their own military. If China sees the US imposing tariffs and being "unreliable", China can move in an offer more favourable trading terms. This is where your bias comes in, you see China as unreliable, but other governments who don't share your view may start to change their perception of the US and China. That's where the damage happens. Just because you think its stupid (I dont think you are wrong), doesnt mean it wont happen.Fills the space with what? The "space" is US military protection. That's it. China is not going to militarily protect Europe from Russia. And even if it's economy, why would anyone invest in China instead of the US? They're not more stable or reliable - they were engaging in the kind of punitive trade policies you're so furiously condemning Trump for!
People are abandoning the US because Trump isn't anti-Russia -> They're moving towards Russia's closest major ally instead
People are abandoning the US because of Trump's tariffs -> They're moving towards a country with a much greater perchant for unfair and putinitive trade practices
Completely incoherent
I dont have a way, Im just all about details. Im generally a centrist (except when I'm at work, there I do whatever the Government of the day requires), but from behind the scenes observation I think the best governments create policies with merit, adjust them for context and have a grasp of administrative details to carry them out. It's those details that separate good from bad to me even moreso than political ideology.YOUR way has resulted in the long-term decline of countries like the US.
Again, Ukraine isn't an ally, and as for the rest of Europe, again, they were insultingly and constantly critical of Trump constantly for the best part of the past 8 years. If they can't take it back, then the status quo was too fragile to ever be maintained in the first place.
The US is NATO.
Again, this is so insane.
People are freaking out because Trump isn't being anti-Russia enough, and the end result is they become close to...Russia's closest ally. Absurd shit.
Fills the space with what? The "space" is US military protection. That's it. China is not going to militarily protect Europe from Russia. And even if it's economy, why would anyone invest in China instead of the US? They're not more stable or reliable - they were engaging in the kind of punitive trade policies you're so furiously condemning Trump for!
People are abandoning the US because Trump isn't anti-Russia -> They're moving towards Russia's closest major ally instead
People are abandoning the US because of Trump's tariffs -> They're moving towards a country with a much greater perchant for unfair and putinitive trade practices
Completely incoherent
What's actually happening right now is that people are hysterically freaking out and throwing a tantrum the very instant that the US doesn't do everything that they demanding it does and have convinced themselves they can get on without the US. But once they realise that there is not alternative and all their pledges to defend Ukraine are worthless without the US, they will come back around because they have no other choice.
YOUR way has resulted in the long-term decline of countries like the US. People are freaking out about Trump because he's a president who has stopped the government putting American interests last.
And nobody against Trump has a workable effective plan for Ukraine. Nobody. They've deluded themselves into thinking that another $100 billion of weapons is going to result in Ukraine's military victory despite being wrong about literally ever single prediction they ever made about this war.
Trump is the one who actually sees the writing on the wall, that this war can't end without Ukraine making a peace deal with Russia. And Ukraine is unlikely to be in a better bargaining position in a year or two's time than they are today (and can't afford to send another 100,000 men to their death).
Totally support, especially the off topic part - its why he’s been passing/doing so many crazy stuff without fact checking lolIm saying China can fill the space as a trading partner, as a military partner no, but if the US is backing out from its commitment to Allies then most countries will back their own military. If China sees the US imposing tariffs and being "unreliable", China can move in an offer more favourable trading terms. This is where your bias comes in, you see China as unreliable, but other governments who don't share your view may start to change their perception of the US and China. That's where the damage happens. Just because you think its stupid (I dont think you are wrong), doesnt mean it wont happen.
At the end of the day, the great leaders of America's "Golden Age" (FDR, Eisenhower, Nixon, LBJ and even Reagan) would never have gone down this route. Donald Trump is trying to "Make America Great Again", but his tactics reflect nothing of what made America great to begin with. As a matter of fact, I seem to remember a period where America embraced isolationism and tariff led protectionism. That was the 30s and if memory serves correct, it wasnt a great time for the US. The golden age came about when America embraced its role as a leader of the world and projected its soft power (i.e. the 50s onwards). So there is a very valid argument there that Trump's ideas may not work.
To be clear my opinion is as follows, the War in Ukraine must end and Europe must do more for itself (there Mr Trump and I agree). Yelling at Zelensky in the Oval and generally being hostile to Allies, there we digress.
I dont have a way, Im just all about details. Im generally a centrist (except when I'm at work, there I do whatever the Government of the day requires), but from behind the scenes observation I think the best governments create policies with merit, adjust them for context and have a grasp of administrative details to carry them out. It's those details that separate good from bad to me even moreso than political ideology.
Going a bit off topic, but what most of the public dont realise is 90% of being in government is managing boring and mundane non-partisan crap most people dont think about. With Trump, I dont see him as being very good at that 90%.
Since you mentioned it, I have to bring it up, maybe to lighten the mood, but did you know the NSW Government has an agency called "Cemeteries and Crematoria NSW". It's role, as the name implies is to have oversight of those who provide post-death services in NSW and ensure the state has enough space for the dead. Guaranteed to stir the loins of partisan politics in NSW. I have joked to a few managers over the years that I would like to pursue development opportunities in that space.Totally support, especially the off topic part - its why he’s been passing/doing so many crazy stuff without fact checking lol
Hahaha omg. I didn’t know that lol. I’m looking forward to this year’s election- the dynamic between Dutton and Albanese is pure gold. Super off topic but had to be saidSince you mentioned it, I have to bring it up, maybe to lighten the mood, but did you know the NSW Government has an agency called "Cemeteries and Crematoria NSW". It's role, as the name implies is to have oversight of those who provide post-death services in NSW and ensure the state has enough space for the dead. Guaranteed to stir the loins of partisan politics in NSW.