Bendwhat?_over
All is lost if one abandons hope.
Are you alright...???sing me a lullaby pls![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
Students helping students, join us in improving Bored of Studies by donating and supporting future students!
Are you alright...???sing me a lullaby pls![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
lol cuz sylvia told me to go to sleep and i thought i was being called naiveAre you alright...???
That's not what I was referring to.lol cuz sylvia told me to go to sleep and i thought i was being called naive
as opposed to... apparently being told i'm getting put down
That's not what I was referring to.
Firstly, the transactional nature applies to Europe too. They don't follow America due to "shared values" - it's in their interest to do so, so they do.I don’t think the U.S.’s global leadership is just transactional. It's the worlds biggest economy, its soft power attracts foreign investment and gives it a major edge in trade negotiations.
None of which has anything to do with endless and unconditional aid for ukraine.Countries want to do business with the U.S. because of its stability, influence, and reliability.
"Abandoning allies" = Not giving unlimited, unconditional support to a non-allyAbandoning allies
or pushing tariffs makes the U.S. seem unreliable, which can hurt its long-term economic interests by driving away investment and creating uncertainty.
Nope, wrong, dead wrong. The status quo you're clinging to is precisely what has lead to the rise of the China and the substantial, long-term decline of the US. The same people who bush this boomer talking point were the ones absolutely convinced that China would be a liberal democracy by now and they were wrong, so any further predictions from people with this model of the world should be discarded. And the US is already a leader in global markets - that's done precious little to actually stop Russia.From an economic standpoint, the best way to counter rivals like China or Russia is by staying a reliable leader in global markets.
They have a market based economyMy hottest of takes is Ive never believed that China would overtake the US economy simply because a) The capitalist system is has is always going to perform better long-term vs a communist system
You can't be serious.and b) the US has a reputation for reliability built over 80 years. Now Im not so sure, because if China can occupy the space the US is leaving behind maybe they could.
They don't "need" to do anything. They're not begging for a peace deal, it's Ukraine begging Russia to leave. I'm not saying Ukraine should accept any given deal, but they can't afford to be demanding the stuff they're demanding.I think it's a fair deal for peace, but Russia needs to come up with some concessions to, like maybe allowing the Ukraine to join the EU or an investment in rebuilding Ukraine in partnership with the EU etc.
Their reserves are what is valuable, not their current mining operations: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c20le8jn282oThe critical minerals deal is a waste for the US, Ukraine currently doesn't mine a lot of that stuff and its material value is unclear.
The status quo might not be perfect, but blowing it up by being crass towards Allies and levying tariffs against Allies isn't going to make America Great Again. It's the wrong solution to the right problem (story of Donald Trump tbh). The US has mishandled foreign policy traditionally when it has gotten directly involved. The US wants to reverse that trend which is probably a good idea. All they have to do is say to Nato, we want to pull back and you to take over, this is how we will support you to do so.Nope, wrong, dead wrong. The status quo you're clinging to is precisely what has lead to the rise of the China and the substantial, long-term decline of the US. The same people who bush this boomer talking point were the ones absolutely convinced that China would be a liberal democracy by now and they were wrong, so any further predictions from people with this model of the world should be discarded. And the US is already a leader in global markets - that's done precious little to actually stop Russia.
I mean, if the world becomes as transactional as you say, China can move into that space if they play their cards right. You have a very right wing view of the world, but not everyone else does. Some people may eventually see China as really not that much worse than the US. In that case, China fills the space. China, when they arent going all wolf warrior can be quite good with the realpolitik at times.You're predicting that because the US engages in tariffs and doesn't support limitless, unconditional financial and military aid to a country it has nothing to do with (legitimately), a country with extremely unfair trade practices, political censorship and the biggest supporter or Russia is going to take America's place?
Come on dude.
Again, Ukraine isn't an ally, and as for the rest of Europe, again, they were insultingly and constantly critical of Trump constantly for the best part of the past 8 years. If they can't take it back, then the status quo was too fragile to ever be maintained in the first place.The status quo might not be perfect, but blowing it up by being crass towards Allies and levying tariffs against Allies isn't going to make America Great Again.
The US is NATO.It's the wrong solution to the right problem (story of Donald Trump tbh). The US has mishandled foreign policy traditionally when it has gotten directly involved. The US wants to reverse that trend which is probably a good idea. All they have to do is say to Nato, we want to pull back and you to take over, this is how we will support you to do so.
Again, this is so insane.I mean, if the world becomes as transactional as you say, China can move into that space if they play their cards right. You have a very right wing view of the world, but not everyone else does. Some people may eventually see China as really not that much worse than the US.
Fills the space with what? The "space" is US military protection. That's it. China is not going to militarily protect Europe from Russia. And even if it's economy, why would anyone invest in China instead of the US? They're not more stable or reliable - they were engaging in the kind of punitive trade policies you're so furiously condemning Trump for!In that case, China fills the space. China, when they arent going all wolf warrior can be quite good with the realpolitik at times.
YOUR way has resulted in the long-term decline of countries like the US. People are freaking out about Trump because he's a president who has stopped the government putting American interests last.As I said, you look at the world through a distinctly right wing lens. I look at the world based on my career in government - Im a details/relationships/practical person (Im also in HR, so dealing diplomatically with fiery personalities and conflicts is my lens as well). Ive seen governments/Ministers come and go of different political persuasions and the best ones I worked for weren't right or left, they were the ones that grasped the details. With the US at the moment, I see a lot of posturing and point scoring but not much in the way of a workable, effective plan.
Im saying China can fill the space as a trading partner, as a military partner no, but if the US is backing out from its commitment to Allies then most countries will back their own military. If China sees the US imposing tariffs and being "unreliable", China can move in an offer more favourable trading terms. This is where your bias comes in, you see China as unreliable, but other governments who don't share your view may start to change their perception of the US and China. That's where the damage happens. Just because you think its stupid (I dont think you are wrong), doesnt mean it wont happen.Fills the space with what? The "space" is US military protection. That's it. China is not going to militarily protect Europe from Russia. And even if it's economy, why would anyone invest in China instead of the US? They're not more stable or reliable - they were engaging in the kind of punitive trade policies you're so furiously condemning Trump for!
People are abandoning the US because Trump isn't anti-Russia -> They're moving towards Russia's closest major ally instead
People are abandoning the US because of Trump's tariffs -> They're moving towards a country with a much greater perchant for unfair and putinitive trade practices
Completely incoherent
I dont have a way, Im just all about details. Im generally a centrist (except when I'm at work, there I do whatever the Government of the day requires), but from behind the scenes observation I think the best governments create policies with merit, adjust them for context and have a grasp of administrative details to carry them out. It's those details that separate good from bad to me even moreso than political ideology.YOUR way has resulted in the long-term decline of countries like the US.
Again, Ukraine isn't an ally, and as for the rest of Europe, again, they were insultingly and constantly critical of Trump constantly for the best part of the past 8 years. If they can't take it back, then the status quo was too fragile to ever be maintained in the first place.
The US is NATO.
Again, this is so insane.
People are freaking out because Trump isn't being anti-Russia enough, and the end result is they become close to...Russia's closest ally. Absurd shit.
Fills the space with what? The "space" is US military protection. That's it. China is not going to militarily protect Europe from Russia. And even if it's economy, why would anyone invest in China instead of the US? They're not more stable or reliable - they were engaging in the kind of punitive trade policies you're so furiously condemning Trump for!
People are abandoning the US because Trump isn't anti-Russia -> They're moving towards Russia's closest major ally instead
People are abandoning the US because of Trump's tariffs -> They're moving towards a country with a much greater perchant for unfair and putinitive trade practices
Completely incoherent
What's actually happening right now is that people are hysterically freaking out and throwing a tantrum the very instant that the US doesn't do everything that they demanding it does and have convinced themselves they can get on without the US. But once they realise that there is not alternative and all their pledges to defend Ukraine are worthless without the US, they will come back around because they have no other choice.
YOUR way has resulted in the long-term decline of countries like the US. People are freaking out about Trump because he's a president who has stopped the government putting American interests last.
And nobody against Trump has a workable effective plan for Ukraine. Nobody. They've deluded themselves into thinking that another $100 billion of weapons is going to result in Ukraine's military victory despite being wrong about literally ever single prediction they ever made about this war.
Trump is the one who actually sees the writing on the wall, that this war can't end without Ukraine making a peace deal with Russia. And Ukraine is unlikely to be in a better bargaining position in a year or two's time than they are today (and can't afford to send another 100,000 men to their death).
Totally support, especially the off topic part - its why he’s been passing/doing so many crazy stuff without fact checking lolIm saying China can fill the space as a trading partner, as a military partner no, but if the US is backing out from its commitment to Allies then most countries will back their own military. If China sees the US imposing tariffs and being "unreliable", China can move in an offer more favourable trading terms. This is where your bias comes in, you see China as unreliable, but other governments who don't share your view may start to change their perception of the US and China. That's where the damage happens. Just because you think its stupid (I dont think you are wrong), doesnt mean it wont happen.
At the end of the day, the great leaders of America's "Golden Age" (FDR, Eisenhower, Nixon, LBJ and even Reagan) would never have gone down this route. Donald Trump is trying to "Make America Great Again", but his tactics reflect nothing of what made America great to begin with. As a matter of fact, I seem to remember a period where America embraced isolationism and tariff led protectionism. That was the 30s and if memory serves correct, it wasnt a great time for the US. The golden age came about when America embraced its role as a leader of the world and projected its soft power (i.e. the 50s onwards). So there is a very valid argument there that Trump's ideas may not work.
To be clear my opinion is as follows, the War in Ukraine must end and Europe must do more for itself (there Mr Trump and I agree). Yelling at Zelensky in the Oval and generally being hostile to Allies, there we digress.
I dont have a way, Im just all about details. Im generally a centrist (except when I'm at work, there I do whatever the Government of the day requires), but from behind the scenes observation I think the best governments create policies with merit, adjust them for context and have a grasp of administrative details to carry them out. It's those details that separate good from bad to me even moreso than political ideology.
Going a bit off topic, but what most of the public dont realise is 90% of being in government is managing boring and mundane non-partisan crap most people dont think about. With Trump, I dont see him as being very good at that 90%.
Since you mentioned it, I have to bring it up, maybe to lighten the mood, but did you know the NSW Government has an agency called "Cemeteries and Crematoria NSW". It's role, as the name implies is to have oversight of those who provide post-death services in NSW and ensure the state has enough space for the dead. Guaranteed to stir the loins of partisan politics in NSW. I have joked to a few managers over the years that I would like to pursue development opportunities in that space.Totally support, especially the off topic part - its why he’s been passing/doing so many crazy stuff without fact checking lol
Hahaha omg. I didn’t know that lol. I’m looking forward to this year’s election- the dynamic between Dutton and Albanese is pure gold. Super off topic but had to be saidSince you mentioned it, I have to bring it up, maybe to lighten the mood, but did you know the NSW Government has an agency called "Cemeteries and Crematoria NSW". It's role, as the name implies is to have oversight of those who provide post-death services in NSW and ensure the state has enough space for the dead. Guaranteed to stir the loins of partisan politics in NSW.
i think you're vastly misunderstanding what i was saying and straw-manning it to the moon. various armed conflicts have been fought since the end of WWII with major state actors acting through proxies without it being regarded as WWIII. i haven't signed up to die on a battlefield because i'm not particularly interested in defending a state that has spent the last few decades mostly making policy decisions detrimental to the majority of its citizens and establishing an economic framework to benefit the exorbitantly wealthy on a fallacious foundation of 'trickle-down economics'. nothing in my previous post suggested anything to the effect of putting Ukranian forces through a 'meat-grinder'; its nothing but an observation that the so-called 'meat-grinder' doesn't actually stop in the case of the 'peace' agreement trump is proposing.Okay, so you're saying the only alternative is world war three? Why haven't you signed up to die on a battlefield already then? Or are you happy to be safe and comfortable in Australia viciously demanding that Ukraine feeds more military slaves into the meat grinder on your behalf? If the fate of the world hangs in the balance, why aren't you standing up?
Ukraine is not an "ally" of the US. They had no real connection other than corrupt financial interests (by no less than the former president himself). The US did not and does not owe Ukraine anything, and the support to date has not been for the sake of helping the people of Ukraine. And you know it! The US political and military establishment do not care about the people of Ukraine, they care about Russia. They would happily trade the lives of every last Ukrainian if it meant weakening Russia to the point of regime change. You think European leaders are freaking out right now because they're worried about the people of Ukraine? NO! Ukraine's value is entirely instrumental - they're not cherished "allies", Ukraine is nothing more than a bulwark for their own countries
And let's be clear - "maintaining the international order" over the past 25 years has included invading sovereign states and causing, directly and indirectly, over half a million primarily civilian deaths in wars that caused millions of people in the middle east and north africa. And let's not even start on the hypocrisy of most of these states supporting or never really standing up to Israel.
But notice how none of this "maintaining the international order" in recent history has ever involved direct or indirect conflict with major powers? This isn't analogous to anything in recent history, and truthfully isn't not even vaguely analogous to nazi germany in the lead up to the war.
You're really just reciting tired old boomer talking points.
You accuse me of straw-manning and then put trickle down economics in inverted commas as if you're referring to the formal name of an economic policy. But that's simply a fabrication.i think you're vastly misunderstanding what i was saying and straw-manning it to the moon. various armed conflicts have been fought since the end of WWII with major state actors acting through proxies without it being regarded as WWIII. i haven't signed up to die on a battlefield because i'm not particularly interested in defending a state that has spent the last few decades mostly making policy decisions detrimental to the majority of its citizens and establishing an economic framework to benefit the exorbitantly wealthy on a fallacious foundation of 'trickle-down economics'.
That's not why people are against it. Zelenskyy says the war isn't over until Ukraine gets all its territory back, which means he is explicitly anti-peace. And Europe wants to the war to go on as long as possible because they want Russia to be weakened as much as possible for their (europe's) own sake. They're happy for the entire fighting age male population of Ukraine to die fighting against russia if it means the war goes on long enough to make Russia unable to threaten any other european country. So again, they're explicitly anti-peace.nothing in my previous post suggested anything to the effect of putting Ukranian forces through a 'meat-grinder'; its nothing but an observation that the so-called 'meat-grinder' doesn't actually stop in the case of the 'peace' agreement trump is proposing.
What exactly do you imagine could be done about Russia in this regard?i also never referred to the US towards the end of my post; there are more states involved in international peacekeeping than the united states of america, and the US is not the only permanent member of the security council. the majority of europe has been fiercely stagnant in their response to the conflict, albeit initially in recognition of the requirements of Art 51 of the UN charter to circumvent the Art 2(4) prohibition on the use of force.
There is no analogy to nazi germany. There is no reason to think Russia intends to or believes it can take over anywhere in western europe and thatanything other than complete martyrdom of young ukrainian men as a demographic will result in this takeover.i don't think anyone is contesting the fact innumerable loss of life and needless violence has occurred in the name of 'peacekeeping'. you simultaneously dismiss the analogy to previous major global conflicts but draw comparison to the current conflict involving Israel, which at the least comes across as not turning your mind to the holistic aspects of the topic you're speaking on.
Who gives a shit about international law? International law can say whatever you want - all that matters at the end of the day is what is happening and what is possible in practice.i'm also not particularly sure how i can be 'reciting' 'boomer talking points' when i'm really just speaking from my own evaluation of the debate from an international law perspective, having studied public international law, private international law, war law, as well as humanitarian law and the use of force.
Again, what do you imagine international law is supposed to do in a practical sense? This or that motions or rulings or statements are worthless unless they lead to particular practical actions which you are yet to explain.i don't have a particular stake in the economic merits of any such conflict, i am just of the view that the current public international law framework falls apart when the, in effect, judiciary of the last line of enforcement, happens to be clearly guilty of the crime of aggression.
So you apparently believe that European leaders are morons?Im saying China can fill the space as a trading partner, as a military partner no, but if the US is backing out from its commitment to Allies then most countries will back their own military. If China sees the US imposing tariffs and being "unreliable", China can move in an offer more favourable trading terms. This is where your bias comes in, you see China as unreliable, but other governments who don't share your view may start to change their perception of the US and China.
Yeah, it's not happening. China has nothing to offer Europe that it doesn't already offer.That's where the damage happens. Just because you think its stupid (I dont think you are wrong), doesnt mean it wont happen.
The America was in the great depression for the entirety of FDR's presidency and he failed to end it. It wasn't a golden age.At the end of the day, the great leaders of America's "Golden Age" (FDR,
Eisenhower was an ineffectual, mediocre leader. America's economic growth was because the rest of the developed world had been destroyed in WW2, not because of Eisenhower's leadership. And notably, Eisenhower failed to counter the growth in soviet power.Eisenhower,
They lived through completely different situations than that facing the current US, and in any case the end result of of their governments was the US being put on (or staying on) the trajectory of long-term decline. The success of the US has been in spite of, not because of, it's modern leaders. Do you think America's catastrophic war in vietnam made america great?Nixon, LBJ and even Reagan) would never have gone down this route. Donald Trump is trying to "Make America Great Again",
1. You JUST SAID IT WAS A GOLDEN AGE!but his tactics reflect nothing of what made America great to begin with. As a matter of fact, I seem to remember a period where America embraced isolationism and tariff led protectionism. That was the 30s and if memory serves correct, it wasnt a great time for the US.
Nope, like I said, it was a result of America's manufacturing boom after the rest of the developed world had their industrial capacity destroyed, and everything snowballed from this.The golden age came about when America embraced its role as a leader of the world and projected its soft power (i.e. the 50s onwards). So there is a very valid argument there that Trump's ideas may not work.
Again, UKRAINE IS NOT AN AMERICAN ALLYTo be clear my opinion is as follows, the War in Ukraine must end and Europe must do more for itself (there Mr Trump and I agree). Yelling at Zelensky in the Oval and generally being hostile to Allies, there we digress.
Then this simply means that there are no good governments in recent European or American history.I dont have a way, Im just all about details. Im generally a centrist (except when I'm at work, there I do whatever the Government of the day requires), but from behind the scenes observation I think the best governments create policies with merit, adjust them for context and have a grasp of administrative details to carry them out. It's those details that separate good from bad to me even moreso than political ideology.
Again, the people you think have been "good at that 90%" have led to the long-term decline in the US in most respects.Going a bit off topic, but what most of the public dont realise is 90% of being in government is managing boring and mundane non-partisan crap most people dont think about. With Trump, I dont see him as being very good at that 90%.
European leaders spent the past 8 years publicly insulting Trump and saying he isn't fit to be president.However, I definitely do believe what Trump and JD Vance did to Zelensky was incredibly petty/rude + how they’ve treated EU countries is general.
Ukraine is not an American ally.Trump could definitely make a peace deal work with Ukraine and Russia- but he simply favours Putin’s to much to prioritise Ukraine’s interests and the EU’s interest which he should as they are the USA’s allies ( NOT Russia).
You mean the thing that Trump has been calling for since he first became president?If Trump pushes them away/ disrespects them to much—> not only will they become more self-reliant
Again with this crapbut will also grow in trade with China ( which is bad for the US). The US is a world power ( in trade + military) but nearly half of that is thanks to the support EU/ their allies give—> which really shouldn’t be disregarded.
What a crock of shit. The US has been in decline for the past 40 years due to leaders doing the opposite to Trump. The policies you support don't work, while trump is returning things to how they were when america was growing.Trump has some “ good” intentions but fails the experience and knowledge to execute them and isn’t willing to educate himself to make better decisions ( not only hurting the USA’s stance in the global economy but the US people as well).
How embarrassing that an "idiot" is so much more successful than you will ever be. What a great injustice!+ Elon Musk’s hyper-involvement in US government despite his clear idiocy is killing me![]()
Another crock of shit.did want to note that the only reason Ukraine was invaded by Russia in the first place was bc of the US, so it’s pretty shallow that they’re ditching Ukraine now.
Sorry, Im struggling to understand, in your view when was the US actually great? I thought the MAGA movement defined that period as being the mid-20th century. Or was it the 19th century? Im a little confused.Again, the people you think have been "good at that 90%" have led to the long-term decline in the US in most respects.
This is what I mean - your model of the world is wrong. The status quo wasn't working and yet you're criticizing Trump because he's not maintaining the status quo.
European leaders spent the past 8 years publicly insulting Trump and saying he isn't fit to be president.
Now you're mad that Trump is doing the same to them? Get bent
Ukraine is not an American ally.
And he doesn't favor Putin - he just understands that this incessant whining that Russia should just leave ukraine and give up all captured territory and let ukraine join nato is just impotent rage. He wants the war to end, and he understands this can't happen without deep concessions from ukraine. He wants this for his own reasons, not to help putin.
You mean the thing that Trump has been calling for since he first became president?
Again with this crap
China is a direct ally and supporter of Russia
China used trade policies to punish other countries for things as minor as their statements (see what they did to Australia because scomo called for an investigation of covid's origins).
The EU doesn't buy anything from America instead of China out of friendship - they do it because its in their own self interest. What the EU imports from the US can't easily be replaced by China.
What a crock of shit. The US has been in decline for the past 40 years due to leaders doing the opposite to Trump. The policies you support don't work, while trump is returning things to how they were when america was growing.
How embarrassing that an "idiot" is so much more successful than you will ever be. What a great injustice!
Do you think Kamala Harris was smart? If so, your view of the world is catastrophically flawed.
Another crock of shit.