budj said:
Yes I agree it isn't 100% reliable, but by analysing the bowling in the champions trophy, simple extrapolation should dictate. In many scientific endeavours, one cannot check all possible objects to fit in. Like testing whether all cats have, say, certain enzyme. THat would be impracticable. Furthrmore, like you have said to me before, we will have to wait until the official report is released to know the legitamacy about the 3-4 degree variation factor.
There's another point that hasnt been raised here, which I forgot to include. 23 bowlers tested at the Champs trophy, 1 found to not chuck at all, 9 found to chuck somewhat, but within the actual rules at the time, and 13 found to go over the limit. Now we both agree that 23 players tested plus a handful of alltime greats is an "extrapolation," which by no means makes it 100% accurate, a bit like TV ratings for example. However, we also both know that 13 out of 23 rule-breakers isnt 99%, only a fraction over 50%. Having said that, the official report hasnt been released, so it is just as foolhardy for me to say this whole "everyone chucks" claim has been completely rubbish and invalid, as it is the same for you and many others to use the "99% of chuckers" claim as if it were some sort of proven statistic, which it is not, and nowhere near right now. You only have to go through the earlier pages of this thread, as well as the title, to see who's black-and-whited the whole thing.
budj said:
Its not a ridiculous claim if you analyse my quote completely in the context that it was argued.
Well you asked me what I thought of the claim that anyone who bends their arm is a chucker, and that was my response.
budj said:
You seem to have misunderstood my reasoning. I am saying that, due to murali's flexibility. axial rotation capabilities of his wrist, his arm speed (being equal to and greater than a med. pacer), it is idiotic for him to bowl a doosara at high speeds (say 90 kn.h), which deviates from his match average speeds. {considering into account what you say about an effot bowl being bowledat a much faster speed}. therefore what i am saying is that the faster the delivery he intends to bowl at, the less control murali has, therefore the hihgher degree of arm bendage needed.
Of course they would have had to check the legitamacy of the dosara. That is wy the ICC wanted the investigation. AS you said / implied, can & will have very different meanings. I have too rad reports which state that murali's bowling action, for the doosara is legit. They seem to be reliable as they quote scientific data to support their claims, which we are forced to assume true.
You seem to be agreeing here. Your saying: "The faster he wants to bowl, the more he has to chuck." That's basically it, no? Thus, if he had no restriction on how much straightening of his arm was allowed, he'd be adding a bit more variety to his bagful of tricks, wouldnt he?
It's fair enough that he bowls a doosra, at say 75-80km/h, which is much slower than his stock ball in a test match. The issue here is whether he still bowled a 75 km/h doosra in a lab, or whether he bowled them at say 60km/h. For all this talk about what science does and what it doesnt do, there has been absolutely no evidence to suggest that the speed was measured using any kind of machinery within that lab. The only one that I've heard is that he bowled at speeds slower than what he does in a match (I'm only talking about the doosra here). Are you going to believe those claims? If so, I'd be disagreeing. It's going a bit far when one assumes that the speed was tested when:
1. It wasnt asked of the scientist to test a "match doosra," just to test whether it was indeed possible to bowl a doosra without chucking.
2. There has so far been no evidence in the shape of reports or anything else that suggests that his speed was monitored.
I still dont understand what you're trying to argue here.
budj said:
How many official body's never ever release official reports on their findings? THeir are millions and millions. There are rules governing sch release of data into public scrutiny,which must be analysed before releasing. Even so, have you ever read an official report (and by official can you clarify what exactly you are saying. Does it have to be endorsed and signed by the relevant organisations involved?)
Official report=one that is released by an organisation/investigation or any other type of committee which isn't affiliated by the media (unless the organisation is part of that media). I've seen plenty of reports, both in cricket and elsewhere.
How many body's never release official reports? All the ones that are corrupt.
The ICC's releasing the official report in February. Perhaps, as you say, the ICC should analyse it before calling everyone a chucker then.
Since when did any credible organisation release their findings to the public without having a close look at the evidence themselves?
That's not a reasonable answer as to why they've held back the report for so long, unless of course you consider the ICC corrupt.
budj said:
Again , there will be a shit load of video footage of Murali, and data analysis. They could release any amount of this to help my case from the "pro murli camp", if you like.
And it is agreed upon by Anti-Murali's and Pro-Murali's that; none of which provide any information on how he bowls in a real match. All the video footage simply consolidates the fact that he is capable of bowling within the limits; nothing more, nothing less.
budj said:
Perhaps i should make my self much more clearer when replying to you pace setter, since you seem to read thoroughly what I have written.
As opposed to skipping and assuming through all the information.
budj said:
anyay, i do not accept the big bang as gospel, and No i have not heard of the multi world theories. What i m saying s that we have to go with he data presented ( for the laymen especially, not for trained scientists, or those with a high intellectual capacity such as Einstein and the likes of newton), with what experts in their related field are saying about the issue concered. Latlely i watched the documentary about string theory, relating intricately the big and the small. have no clue whats going on, in terms of fully understanding the topic, but rather, I do not want to question it, YET, as I lack the sufficient knowledge, data analysis techniques, etc, to support any negative claims against such hyopothesis.
I know where you're going with this, but here's a question:
Are you religious? If not, what would you say to someone if they asked you how the world/universe began? You say that you will not yet accept Big Bang as gospel, but would you still answer Big Bang anyway, as it's I'm guessing the most widely accepted theory among scientists and the non-religious public? Or would say something else, like "I dont care," "I'm not sure yet," "The evidence isnt definitive," etc. I'm assuming here that most would just say the Big Bang, even if they knew next to nothing about it, simply because it's the most popular theory going around.
There's this thing in marketing, whereby a business will spread a rumour around about itself. Doesnt matter whether it's positive or negative, and doesnt matter how many other companies start spreading rumours of a similar nature about themselves. The mere fact that the business spread the rumour first attracts the public like blood to a shark, whilst ignoring all the other copycats that the rumour may actually be true about, unlike the attention-seeking business that started it. It's the same with the Big Bang, same with maybe the new sci-fi- like theories going around if/once they hit the headlines, and also the 99% of bowlers are chuckers thing.
Since you have admitted you do not have enough knowledge to question or dismiss the 99% theory, why go around preaching it like gospel(again, have a read through the first page or 2 of this thread)? Is it because you trust the scientists? That would be inconsistent considering you're prepared not to treat what the Big Bang scientists suggest as gospel. Dont take it personally, I dont target you in particular, just anyone who goes around rebutting others based on a finding very few in the world have much knowledge on-especially considering the secretive nature of that report
budj said:
..which is similarly a crime to accepting the 3-4 degree variation without understanding error magnitudes of data gathering techniques in place. which is a similar crime to...I cn go on forever man...
Yes, and a lot of people arent dismissing the findings as ridiculous-just inconclusive thus far considering the amount of information available. The assumptions on the error-prone nature of the cameras would never had come about if the assumptions about "everyone chucking based on solid irrefutable scientific evidence" never existed-agree with that one? Nothing personal, but I have come across the "dont blame me when you're doing it too" argument many times and find it quite a poor one. Because it basically admits to your own guilt,(aka shooting yourself in the foot) whilst at the same time only "claiming" that the other party are guilty of the same
budj said:
In physics we study relativity. We assume it is correct, without going into the details greatly. Similarly i am assuming that the statements by biomechanispreffessors are correct, and the TV interview reports by players and ICC officials witnessing such events is also correct.
Assuming it is correct without getting all the facts? Trusting the words of parties with/without a possible motive as gospel? That sounds like something I've come across before. No not science...let me think............Ahhh I remember now. It starts with R, ends with N, and there are 8 letters in it. Cant remember what it was though.